The 2026 Hall of Fame voting results are set to be announced on January 20, but that doesn't mean we can't start speculating and analyzing the trends. Here's a breakdown of what we know so far, using some helpful tools to guide our insights.
Beltrán's Hall of Fame Lock: Carlos Beltrán is a strong contender, with 89.2% of the ballots counted so far. According to projections, he's expected to surpass the 75% threshold with ease, reaching 99.7% in simulations. This could mean two members of the 2004 Astros will be inducted.
Andruw Jones' Uncertain Future: Andruw Jones' vote percentage has doubled from 33.9% to 66.2% over the past five cycles. However, it's important to note that the tracker's percentage might not reflect the final tally. Jones' actual percentage could decline, but he's still on track to be elected with a 78.8% vote, clearing the 75% threshold in most simulations.
Utley's Steady Progress: Chase Utley, with a 66.5% vote percentage, is making significant strides. His 2025 total was 39.8%, so this is a notable jump. Utley's career bWAR of 64.6 ranks him 15th among second basemen, which could be a strong argument for his induction.
Rising Stars: Félix Hernández and Andy Pettitte are the biggest risers. Hernández, a newcomer last year, has gained 30 new votes, while Pettitte, in his eighth year, has seen a 14.4 percentage point increase in support. However, Hernández is in his second year, while Pettitte has more experience, making his climb to 75% more challenging.
First-Time Candidates' Fate: Cole Hamels is the only first-time candidate over the 5% threshold, with 32.3% of the votes. Other first-timers have received a combined total of eight votes, with Ryan Braun, Edwin Encarnación, Shin-Soo Choo, and Hunter Pence each getting at least one vote. It remains to be seen if any will stay on the ballot in 2027.
Manny Ramirez's Declining Support: Manny Ramirez, in his 10th year on the ballot, has seen his vote percentage fluctuate between 25% and 35% since 2020. With a 41.8% vote in the tracker, his career achievements (555 home runs, .312 average, .996 OPS) might not be enough to overcome his performance-enhancing drug violations, which have likely capped his Hall support.
